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Japan is Back

1週間遅れのニュースですが、安部首相が訪米した時にCSISで講演したときの映像が以下です。Apple Online StoreがWe'll be back.となっているというニュースで思い出しました(笑)


Statesmen’s Forum: HE Shinzo Abe, Prime Minister of Japan
Japan is Back

FRIDAY, FEB 22, 2013



But anyway, we’re delighted to have the prime minister here. This is – this is an exciting time for us, and we know, of course, Prime Minister Abe. We know of his leadership through the years, and we’re really delighted to have him here. We welcome him. We’re excited that he can be with us today. And thank you, Prime Minister. We’re delighted to have you here.


You know, about 80 percent of Americans believe that the U.S.-Japan relationship is the most important foundational relationship in Asia, and I think that’s emblematic of this – how important we give this relationship, and why it’s so important that Prime Minister Abe would be here so early in his tenure and in President Obama’s second term.
So we’re delighted to have him here. Would you please welcome him with your applause, Prime Minister Abe. Thank you.

MR. HAMRE: First, Prime Minister, I don’t know of an American president who could
give a speech to the Japanese public in Japanese. (Scattered laughter.) So I want to say thank you. This is a real honor that you gave us with your speech in English. Thank you. (Applause.)

この講演会で司会を務めていた知日家のMichael J. Green氏がフォーリンポリシーに書いていました。自分の主催した講演について悪く言う訳もなく、今回の訪米が実りあるものであることを述べています。

Shinzo Abe: Japan is back
Posted By Michael J. Green Monday, February 25, 2013 - 11:30 AM

In an energetic speech at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington on Friday, he declared to the audience that "Japan is back."

Abe's return seemed initially to confuse the Obama administration. His values-based, balance of power approach resonated much more with George W. Bush's second inaugural than the minimalist and risk-averse foreign policy vision President Obama has put forth for his second term. The administration also appeared spooked by Abe's intemperate campaign comments about the need to revisit Japan's previous official apologies to China and Korea. Numerous stories emerged before his visit to Washington citing unnamed senior U.S. officials promising to publicly shame Japan if the Abe administration went too far with historical revisionism. The pattern looked eerily reminiscent of what happened between the Obama administration and Bibi Netanyahu in the first term. For its part, the Japanese side was equally uncertain about seeming wobbliness in U.S. declaratory policy on the Senkaku issue since Hillary Clinton's departure and by John Kerry's promise in his confirmation hearings to "grow the rebalance towards Beijing" (it did not help that Chinese official editorials praised Kerry for having the wisdom not to "meddle" in Far Eastern affairs the way his predecessor had).

In the end, though, the Abe-Obama summit on Feb. 22 was a success for both sides. Since coming to office, Abe has moderated his stance on history issues and was firm but gracious towards China and especially South Korea in his CSIS speech. In the Oval Office press availability, President Obama reaffirmed that Japan is the "central foundation" of U.S. security policy toward the Pacific (though he sounded like he was searching for a teleprompter when he said it).


hinzo Abe Comes to Washington
By Michael J. Green, Matthew P. Goodman, Nicholas Szechenyi
FEB 21, 2013

Q1: What is on the agenda?
Q2: Why is this meeting significant?
Q3: What are the expectations going forward?


Richard C. Bush III | February 22, 2013 5:51pm
Shinzo Abe's Visit to Washington

For the short term, U.S. expectations from the summit were probably low. Abe’s Liberal Democratic Party faces elections for half the seats of the Upper House of the Diet (legislature) in July. Winning a majority in that election and so ending divided government in Tokyo is very important for Mr. Abe. He was not about to make bold initiatives in Washington that could hurt him back home (on TPP, for example), but the United States has an interest in a Japanese government that can work to meet the many challenges that faces it.

Over the longer term, the Obama administration expects more than a good set of meetings. It hopes that Japan will bear its part of the burden of preserving peace, stability, and prosperity in East Asia and the world, and that there would be close coordination and cooperation on how to manage China’s rise on issues large and small. In that regard, Abe pledged new action on the security relationship but also a renewed commitment to a positive and constructive global and regional role. Abe’s simple message was that, after several years of uncertainty about Tokyo’s future trajectory, Japan “was back,” and contrary to the doubts of some Americans, it would remain a first-tier country.

もう少し読み応えのある日本外交の分析は、日本のテレビでもおなじみのGerald L. Curtis教授がフォーリンアフェアーズの最新号に寄稿していました。安部首相はタカ派だけれども現実的に行動するのではないかと、冷静に分析しているようですね。まだ読んでいないので、これから読んでみようと思います。

Japan's Cautious Hawks
Why Tokyo Is Unlikely to Pursue an Aggressive Foreign Policy
By Gerald L. Curtis
March/April 2013
The election of the hawkish Shinzo Abe as Japan's prime minister has the world worrying that Tokyo is about to part with its pacifist strategy of the last 70 years. But Japan's new leaders are pragmatic, and so long as the United States does not waver in its commitment to the country's defense, they are unlikely chart a new course.
GERALD L. CURTIS is Burgess Professor of Political Science at Columbia University.

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